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HARRY'S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE 10.23.24

by Harry Salzman

October 23, 2024

 

 

HARRY’S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE

A Current Look at the Colorado Springs Residential real estate Market

As part of my “Special Brand of Customer Service”, it is my desire to share current Residential real estate issues that will help to make you a more successful and profitable Buyer and Seller.

 

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THE QUESTIONS KEEP ON COMING…… My Answers Remain the Same. 

 

Is now a good time to buy or sell?

 

What’s going to happen with mortgage rates?

 

Should I wait until next year?

 

Well, I don’t have a crystal ball, but I can give answers based on my 51 plus years in the local Residential real estate arena coupled with my background in Investment Banking.

It’s always a good time to buy and sell depending on your individual situation.  As I’ve said time and again, there are always those who want or need to buy and those who want or need to sell.  That’s been true for my entire career and will likely hold true for years to come.

What also has held true, most especially in the Colorado Springs area is that home prices are not likely to go down and ARE likely to continue to rise.  Each month you don’t buy you are likely losing equity and thus losing greater wealth for you and your family.

As you will see later in this eNewsletter, more folks here and nationally are entering the market at a time that is normally slower than in the spring and summer months.

Why is that?  I’ve explained it below but suffice it to say that many folks have been waiting the last few years to either buy for the first time, sell and trade up or downsize.  Whatever the reason, more homes are entering the market at present and that’s a plus for buyers.

The pickings have been sparce during the last year or so when mortgage interest rates were rising.  Now that they are on their way down, although fluctuating, folks who have been sitting on the fence are ready to jump in.

Yes, interest rates are still somewhat high but as I’ve said before…shopping around for rates can result in some happy surprises.  Lenders are chomping at the bit to lend and are doing everything possible to work with buyers.

You can also find some sellers, as well as home builders, who are offering a “buy down”—essentially help with lowering the interest rate for a set period of time until you are able to refinance and lower the interest rate yourself.  (see my YouTube video link below)

Some of these options can sound confusing but that’s why you’ve got me.  I’ve been around for most every cycle imaginable and know the in’s and out’s of it all so you don’t have to.  I can work with your needs, wants and budget requirements to help you find something that is just the right fit for you and your family.

 

Perhaps you’ve waited until after election day to buy or sell?  Well, that day will soon be here.

 

Perhaps you want to wait until next year to buy or sell?  That day will soon be here as well.

 

It’s not too early to start implementing a plan for your 2025 buying or selling needs and the sooner we start talking, the sooner you will have that plan ready and you’ll be that much further ahead of those who wait.

 

I look forward to meeting with you sooner than later because as you’ll see as you read further down…Time is of the Essence…. or “the early bird gets the worm” as they say.  In this case, the early bird gets the opportunity to grow their personal assets first.  I like to see my clients get a jump on the rest as I know the excellent opportunities of which they can avail themselves.

 

Give me a call today at 719.593.1000 or email me at Harry@HarrySalzman.com and together let’s see how your Residential real estate dreams can become reality in the best time frame for you.

 

And, if you’ve got two minutes, check out my new and improved video podcast and discover how you can purchase a fabulous home at a “buy down” on the mortgage which essentially means a lower monthly payment for the first year or two.   Here’s a picture of a chart I featured in the video.  If you have any questions, just ask.

 

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                                                                                            (*all financial numbers are approximate)

 

Click on the link below and you will be directed to my personal YouTube channel.

 

https://youtu.be/mADrPVkY1lE

 

While you’re at it you might want to subscribe to my channel, so you won’t miss future broadcasts.  It won’t cost you anything…well, it could cost you… if you miss some of my informative musings!)

 

MORE PEOPLE ARE LISTING THEIR HOMES RECENTLY…WHY?

Keeping Current Matters, 10.17.24

As I mentioned earlier, most “normal” or “traditional” housing cycles see around 40% of the buying and selling take place between April and June each year.  

Well, there’s been nothing quite “normal” in the Residential real estate market for some time now. This year we saw mortgage interest rates come down at the same time the number of homes on the market usually starts to decline.  So, what happened?  More homeowners decided to sell, so more homes came on the market.  This is true here in Colorado Springs as well as nationally.

The most recent data from Realtor.com reveals that in September the number of homes put up for sale increased by 11.6% nationally compared to this time last year.  Locally, we saw an increase in listings of 7.1% in single-family/patio homes and 34.4% for condo/townhomes.  

As the green circle in the graph below shows, the typical September decline nationally in homes coming to the market did not happen—the number actually went up.  See below:

 

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Ralph McLaughlin, senior economist at Realtor.com explains why there was an unseasonable rise: “This sharp increase is largely due to the decline in mortgage rates in mid-August, enticing homeowners to sell.”

 

So, What Does This Mean If You’re Looking to Buy a Home?

It means more fresh options to choose from than you have had for a while—not the ones that have simply been sitting around unsold.

However, keep in mind that mortgage rates have been ticking up a bit slightly in recent weeks, which could limit the number of folks who feel comfortable with the idea of selling in the months ahead.  And in the recent market, it’s mortgage rates that are largely driving homeowner decisions.

 

Why Buy Now, Rather Than Wait?

As I mentioned earlier, whether you are looking for a starter home, an upgrade or hoping to downsize, you have more homes from which to choose right now.  And if you can find what you are looking for, remember that these new fresh options won’t be on the market forever.  

One month does not make a trend. So, what does that mean going forward?  Whether more homeowners continue to put their homes on the market will largely depend on what happens with the mortgage rates and the economic factors that impact them, like inflation, employment and the reactions by the Federal Reserve.  

 

With that in mind—if you are ready, willing and able, now might be the best moment while more homes are available.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:

“The rise in inventory—and, more technically, the accompanying months’ supply—implies home buyers are in a much-improved position to find the right home and at more affordable prices.”

 

Bottom Line?

Once again—if you are ready, willing and able—NOW is the time for us to get together and see how we can make all the above work for your individual situation.  Just give me a call and we can get the ball rolling.

 

AND IN THE SAME VEIN….an Infographic

Keeping Current Matters, 10.18.24

 

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A Few Highlights:

  • You may be torn between buying a home now or waiting.  But don’t forget to factor in the equity you’ll gain as prices rise as well as the greater choices you have now.

 

  • Experts forecast prices will climb over the next 5 years—and based on those forecasts you could gain about $90k in equity in that time.

 

  • You could wait, but you’ll miss out on a lot of equity if you do.  So why not start growing your wealth now in a home that fits your present and future life.

 

  • Once again…. let’s talk and see if this is the right time for you.  Call me at 719.593.1000 today.

 

ERA SHIELDS QUARTERLY STAT PACK

Data through September 2024, ERA Shields

Here is data from my company’s quarterly “Stat Pack” that can better help you understand the local buying and selling reality.  I have reproduced the first page, and you can click here to get the report in its entirety.

 

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FEATURED LISTING:  

It’s the one I featured in my YouTube video link above with the “buy down” offer.  

Be sure to check it out.  I don’t expect it to last long.

HARRY'S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE 10.10.24

by Harry Salzman

October 10, 2024

 

HARRY’S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE

A Current Look at the Colorado Springs Residential real estate Market

As part of my “Special Brand of Customer Service”, it is my desire to share current Residential real estate issues that will help to make you a more successful and profitable Buyer and Seller.

 

MORTGAGE RATES HAVE FALLEN TO THEIR LOWEST LEVEL IN TWO YEARS… BUT BUYERS AND SELLERS ARE STILL MOVING SLOWLY

Last week the average 30-year mortgage rate dropped to 6.08% from 7.31% one year ago.  The last time the average rate was lower was on September 15, 2022, when it was 6.02%.  And rates for 15-year fixed rate mortgages rose a bit from 5.15% to 5.16% last week, according to Freddie Mac.

While these rates are certainly better, they don’t appear to be incentive enough to convince those who have been waiting to sell to enter the market.  And why is that?

Well, several reasons come to my mind.  To begin with there are those who refinanced when rates were historically low several years ago and they don’t want to give up those low rates.

Then there are those who are waiting for the Federal Reserve to lower the Fed Fund rate even more in hope that mortgage interest rates will follow.

And lastly, there are those who are waiting for the outcome of the Presidential election before committing to a move.

All of these reasons are understandable and when you look at the new statistics below you can see how they are affected by the above reasons.  

Compared to a year ago in single-family/patio homes, sales are down, new listings are holding steady, and home values are holding their own.  The median sales price is up 2.1%.

For condos/town homes most everything is up compared to last year.

The biggest take from all of this is that home values are not going down and are continuing to rise.  

What does that mean if you have been sitting on the fence when it comes to making a move?  Well, you’re going to pay more for your new home than you might today. So, the possibility of a lower interest rate might not make a lot of difference if your new home costs more than it would today.

I don’t have a crystal ball and can’t predict what will happen to rates or what will happen in the Presidential election.  But I can say with conviction that home prices are not going to be going down anytime soon, if ever.

As I’ve always said and will repeat again—there are always those who need or want to buy and those who need or want to sell.  

What that means is that there are always going to be potential buyers for your home if you are thinking of making a move.  Homes are not going to sell in record time with multiple offers over list price, but if your home is priced right, you are likely to find a buyer.

Listings are slowly going up as I mentioned and as that continues there will be much more competition for your home than if you put it on the market now.  With fewer available homes for sale, your home is likely to get more attention today.

How does this affect you?  If you’ve even been thinking of making a move, NOW is a great time.  It’s never too early for us to get together and see how we can begin to get a better picture of how to take your wants, needs and budget requirements and use them for the best outcome for you and your family. 

With 51+ years in the local Residential real estate arena couple with my investment banking background, I’m your guy when it comes to helping you put all the pieces of the buying and selling process together.

Simply email me at Harry@HarrySalzman.com or call me at 719.593.1000 and let’s get started today. 

 

And, if you’ve got one minute and 59 seconds, check out my new and improved video podcast. Click on the link below and you will be directed to my personal YouTube channel.

https://youtu.be/FTIurvVlCsc

 

While you’re at it you might want to subscribe to my channel, so you won’t miss future broadcasts.  It won’t cost you anything…well, it could cost you… if you miss some of my informative musings!)

 

To my Jewish friends and clients, I’d like to wish you a very healthy, happy New Year.

 

Now for statistics…

 

SEPTEMBER 2024

Statistics provided by the Pikes Peak REALTORS Service Corp., or it’s PPMLS

Here are some highlights from the September 2024 PPAR report.  You might note that while homes are selling at close to asking price as in the past several months, the days on the market are a bit longer.  I expect both to change if interest rates go down more.

 

In El Paso County, the average days on the market for single family/patio homes was 40.  For condo/townhomes it was 55.  

 

Also in El Paso County, the sales price/list price for single family/patio homes was 99.2% and for condo/townhomes it was 98.7%.  

 

In Teller County, the average days on the market for single family/patio homes was 63 and the sales/list price was 97.7%.

 

Please click here to view the detailed 10-page report, including charts.  If you have any questions about the report or to find out how it relates to your individual situation, just give me a call.

 

In comparing September 2024 to September 2023 for All Homes in PPAR:

                        

                        Single Family/Patio Homes:

·       New Listings were 1,331, Up 7.1%

·       Number of Sales were 933, Down 7.4%

·       Average Sales Price was $535,023, Down 1.1%

·       Median Sales Price was $485,000, Up 2.1%

·       Total Active Listings are 3,392, Up 36.6%

·       Months Supply is 3.65, Down 4.9%

 

 

Condo/Townhomes:

·       New Listings were 250, Up 34.4% 

·       Number of Sales were 140, Up 6.9%

·       Average Sales Price was $385,706, Up 4.4%

·       Median Sales Price was $370,000, Up 5.7 %

·       Total Active Listings are 627, Up 71.3%

·       Months Supply is 4.5, Up 10.4%

 

SEPTEMBER 2024 MONTHLY INDICATORS AND LOCAL MARKET UPDATE ILLUSTRATE OUR LOCAL TRENDS IN DETAIL

Colorado Association of REALTORS® , Pikes Peak REALTORS Service Corp, or it’s PPMLS

Providing greater detail than the above report, this contains information on both El Paso and Teller counties for Residential real estate.  

The “Activity Snapshot” for all residential properties in El Paso and Teller counties shows the Year-to-Date one-year change:

 

  • Sold Listings for All Properties were Down 7.2%

 

  • Median Sales Price for All Properties was Up 0.1%

 

  • Active Listings on All Properties were Up 29.6%

 

You can click here to read the 16-page Monthly Indicators or click here to get specific information on the geographical are of your choice from the 18-page Local Market Update.  It’s a good idea to check out your own area or one that you might be considering in order to get a good idea of the local pulse.  As an example, here is a detailed report on the Colorado Springs area:

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THE TOP THREE REASONS AFFORDABILITY IS IMPROVING

Keeping Current Matters, 10.4.24

 

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Some Highlights:

 

  • Affordability is based on three key factors:  mortgage rates, home prices and wages.

 

  • Today, it’s improving quickly as rates come down, prices level off, and wages climb.

 

  • If you’ve put your search on pause, now is the perfect time to get ready to jump back in.  Give me a call today and let’s see how all three factors can work for you.

 

 

AND ONE OF THE QUESTIONS I’M ASKED THE MOST…” BUY NOW OR WAIT UNTIL AFTER THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?”

Keeping Current Matters, 9.27.24

 

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Bottom Line:

  • If you, like many others, are wondering if you should wait until after the election or buy now here’s what you might want to know:

 

  • If you wait for rates to drop more, you’ll likely have to deal with more competition and higher prices when additional buyers jump back in the market.  But if you buy now, you’ll be getting ahead of that and have the chance to start building equity now.

 

  • I can help you look at all the options and see what could work best for your individual situation.

 

 

ECONOMIC & WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT REPORT

Data-Driven Economic Strategies, September 2024

As always, I like to share the useful data I receive from our “local economist”, Tatiana Bailey.  You will see in these charts what’s happening locally in terms of the economy as well as the most recent Workforce Progress Report. 

This information is especially invaluable to business owners; however, I know you all will all find it worthwhile reading.

Below is a reproduction of the first page of graphics. To access the full report, please click here.  And if you have any questions, give me a call.

 

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UCCS ECONOMIC FORUM MONTHLY DASHBOARD   

Updated September 2024, UCCS College of Business/Economic Forum

Here is the monthly report from the UCCS College of Business Economic Forum.  It is created by professor Dr.Bill Craighead, who is the Forum Director.  He also publishes an on-line “Weekly Economic Snapshot” you might enjoy. 

I know several of you who like statistics and use this information in your daily business life, and I will share it with you when I receive it each month.  

I’ve reproduced the first page of the charts below.  To access the report in its entirety, please click here.  

 

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Harry A Salzman
ERA Shields / Salzman Real Estate Services
6385 Corporate Drive, Suite 301
Colorado Springs CO 80919
719-593-1000
Cell: 719-231-1285
Fax: 719-548-9357

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