Harry's Bi-Weekly Update 3.17.14
March 17, 2014
HARRY’S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE
A Current Look at the Colorado Springs Residential real estate Market
As part of my Personal Service, it is my desire to share current real estate issues that will help to make you a more successful and profitable buyer or seller.
YOU DON’T NEED LUCK WITH ME AS YOUR REALTOR
Buying and Selling real estate can sometimes be a matter of luck. Finding the right property, setting the right price and navigating your way through all the paperwork required just to get a property listed can be tricky. That doesn’t even take into consideration obtaining the best mortgage lender for your needs and getting to closing.
On St. Patrick’s Day, let me assure you of one important thing—you don’t need any more luck--you’re already multiple steps ahead of the game because you have me as your advocate when it comes to all your real estate needs.
With my Investment Banking background and 40+ years in the local real estate arena, I will always provide each and every one of you with the quality customer service for which I’ve become known. No matter whether you are Selling and Trading Up, Buying for the first time or for Investment purposes, I will always take the time to help you decide what’s best for your individual needs, wants and budget.
So while you MAY need luck when it comes to winning the Powerball or Lottery, when it comes to one of the biggest financial decisions you’ll ever make—you’ve got all the luck you need because you have me.
FEBRUARY LOCAL STATISTICS STILL UNAVAILABLE
As I mentioned in my last eNewsletter, the local PPAR statistics for February were delayed due to a new MLS reporting system. Thanks for your inquiries—it’s nice to see this interest from my readers. The stats are still unpublished and I will get them to you as soon as they are available to me.
A FEW OF MY THOUGHTS ABOUT “TIME”
I often get asked about the “right” time to deal with real estate and my standard answer is that there is NO standard answer. When it comes to “time” it’s strictly an individualized thing. So, I put together a list of things that you might want to consider and/or ask yourself when thinking about “time” when it comes to real estate.
- Is it “time” to take the new found equity in your current home and use it to trade up or move to a new neighborhood?
- Is it a good “time” to Buy but retain your current home as a Rental?
- Is it “time” to trade up for personal and family reasons to the home of your dreams while the mortgage rates are still relatively low?
- Is it “time” to change homes due to personal lifestyle changes, such as moving to a single story home from a multi-story, or downsizing or upsizing due to decreased or increased family size?
These are questions only you can answer. Remember—there’s no right time or right answer—and there are always many questions when it comes to real estate investments. That’s where I come in. Once you’ve found out if it’s the right “time” for you, I can help make your answers a reality. Sometimes it’s simply a matter of finding out whether or not it’s financially a good “time” for you. Those are areas of my expertise and I’m simply a phone call or email away and will always have the “time” for you.
AMERICANS MORE CONFIDENT ABOUT BUYING
Keeping Current Matters
According to the Fannie Mae January 2014 National Housing Survey, two categories reported all-time survey highs:
- 52% of respondents thought it would be easy for them to get a home mortgage today
- 70% of respondents said they would buy if they were going to move
Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae explained what this could mean to the real estate market moving forward:
“A majority of consumers now believe that it is getting easier to get a mortgage. For the first time in the National Housing Survey’s three-and-a-half-year history, the share of respondents who said it is easy to get a mortgage surpassed the 50-percent mark. The gradual upward trend in this indicator during the last few months bodes well for the housing recovery and may be contributing to this month’s (February’s) increase in consumers’ intention to buy rather than rent their next home. The dip in overall home price expectations, though notable, is consistent with our view of moderating home price gains this year from a robust pace last year, while positive trends in perceptions about the economy and personal finances over the next year support our view of stronger growth in the broader economy.”
Consumer confidence at this point is good news considering the increasing home and mortgage interest rate pricing. Hopefully this trend will continue in February’s stats as higher interest rates and new mortgage regulations start kicking in.
The bottom line is still the same. If you are looking to Sell and Trade Up or Buy for the first time or Investment purposes….don’t wait around for better prices. While home values will rise slower than in the past few years, they WILL continue to rise and mortgage rates will definitely rise. So while your present home continues to increase in equity, so will the next home you might want and with higher interest rates….you’re going to pay more. And with inventory down, it’s best to start your search now so that you are not disappointed with availability in the neighborhood or price range you want.
If you or any family member, friend or co-worker has been waiting for the “right” time, why not call me at 598.3200 or email me @ Harry@HarrySalzman.com and let’s see if it’s worth waiting or if it’s time to start the ball rolling.
HOUSING PREFERENCES DRIVEN BY GENERATIONAL DIFFERENCES
RealtorMag 3.12.14, RisMedia, 3.14.14
A 2014 NAR Home Buyer and Seller Generational Trend study indicates that younger home Buyers tend to view their home as a strong investment while older Buyers tend to view their homes as a match to their lifestyle.
The survey provided an in-depth look at the generational differences of recent home Buyers and Sellers.
According to the survey, the largest group of recent Buyers is millennials, those under the age of 34, who comprised 31% of recent home purchases. Gen X Buyers, born between 1965 and 1979, accounted for 30% of recent purchases and younger boomers, born between 1955 and 1964, accounted for 16%.
“Given that millennials are the largest generation in history after the baby boomers, it means there is a potential for strong underlying demand,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Moreover, their aspiration and the long-term investment aspect to owning a home remain solid among young people. However, the challenges of tight credit, limited inventory, eroding affordability, and high debt loads have limited the capacity of young people to own.”
The NAR study showed the median age of millennial home Buyers as 29 and the median income as $73,600. The typical purchase was an 1,800 square foot home costing around $180,000.
Gen X Buyers, in comparison, had a median age of 40 and a median income of $98,200 while their typical purchase was a 2,130 square foot home costing $250,000.
Multi-generational households, those consisting of adult siblings, adult children, parents and/or grandparents, represented 14% of all home purchases. These households were largely concentrated among middle age Buyers, with 22% of Younger Boomers identified as a multi-generational household.
Reasons for multi-generational households included:
- Adult children moving back home
- Cost Savings
- Health or care-taking of aging parents
- Spending more time with aging parents
Other findings from the study include:
- 87% of Buyers age 33 and younger consider their home purchase a good financial investment compared to 74% of buyers 68 and older
- Millennials were more likely to buy in an urban or central city than older boomers
- Younger Buyers tended to place higher importance on commuting costs than older generations. Older generations tended to place more emphasis on energy efficiency, landscaping, and community features
- Millennials plan to stay in the home for 10 years while the baby boom generation plan to stay for 20 years
- Younger Buyers tend to move to larger, higher-prices homes, but “there is a clear trend of downsizing to smaller homes among both younger and older baby boomers and the Silent Generation (those born between 1925 and 1945)”
- 79% of Older Boomers purchased an existing home, compared with 87% of Millennials
Prior to purchasing, 62% of Millennials rented an apartment or house and 20% lived with their parents, relatives or friends. Younger Boomers and earlier generations mostly owned their previous residence, with older Buyers much more likely to have been homeowners.
As you can see, folks of all ages are now attempting to become homeowners. With the current obstacles of low inventory, higher prices and mortgage interest rates, along with the new lending regulations, it’s going to get tougher for some to achieve their homeownership goals. That’s why it is more important than ever to use a qualified real estate Agent for assistance.
As YOUR Agent, I’m your “go-to” guy. I do the homework to help make the process as stress- free as possible for first time Buyers as well as those wanting to Sell and trade up or Buy for Investment purposes. Call me today and let me help you determine the best possible scenario for you.
For those looking to Buy for investment, as you can see, the need for rentals is going to grow along with the higher pricing on homes and interest rates. In many cases, if it’s financially feasible and you are looking to Sell and trade up, you might consider keeping your current residence as a rental. These are just some of the options we can discuss when you contact me.
FLOOD INSURANCE AFFORDABILITY BILL WILL HELP
NAR President Steve Brown issued the following statement on March 13:
“Realtors applaud the U.S. Senate for passing the Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability Act, H.R. 3370, to curb flood insurance hikes for homes and commercial properties.
We appreciate the Senate’s swift action on the legislation, which is a responsible and balanced solution to the skyrocketing flood insurance premiums affecting residential and commercial properties that were unintentionally triggered by the Biggert-Waters reforms to the National Flood Insurance Program.”
He went on the praise the bill for the relief it will bring to businesses and homeowners nationwide who have experienced financial hardship due to extreme premium increases.
Hopefully this Bill will help all of you who found yourselves with higher flood insurance premiums due to the floods of recent times, nationally and most especially here in the Colorado Springs area.
MORTGAGE RATES BUMPED UP LAST WEEK
For the week ending last Friday, Freddie Mac reports the following national mortgage rate averages:
- 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 4.37%, with an average 0.6, rising from last week’s 4.28% average. A year ago at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.63%.
- 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.38%, with an average 0.6 point, increasing from last week’s 3.3.2% average. Last year at this time, 15-year rates averaged 2.79%.
- 5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 3.09%, with an average 04 point, inching up from last week’s 3.03% average. A year ago a this time, 5=year ARMs averaged 2.61%.
- 1-year ARMs: averaged 2.48%, with an average 0.4 point, dropping from last week’s 2.52% average. A year ago, 1-year ARMs averaged 2.64%.
So, with Spring buying already underway, it appears that increasing mortgage rates will be there to greet you. It’s not likely to get better, and most economists are predicting at least 5% on 30-year fixed rate mortgages before the end of 2014. If you’ve been waiting for the right time to Buy…it’s here.
SOME INTERESTING FACTORS IN relocation
Mobility, March 2014
Several hundred relocation and human resource professionals were asked and answered:
“If you were being transferred, what would you consider the most important factor before accepting the new job assignment?
- 38% -- My spouse’s/family’s happiness while on assignment
- 22% -- Pay raise/new responsibilities
- 22% -- Potential for career advancement
- 13% -- Location
- 5% -- Length of assignment
As a relocation specialist, a good part of my job entails helping make the move as easy as possible for the whole family, not just the person being relocated for job purposes. This might mean a neighborhood that’s family friendly or a school district known for the specific needs or talents of the students in the family. I pride myself on knowing that my success in working to make the whole family happy will make the job transfer a happy one for everyone involved. And as we all know, a happy family situation makes for a happy employee.
HARRY’S JOKE OF THE DAY (can you tell I just got back from Colorado Rockies Spring Training in Scottsdale, AZ?)